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The Unified Non-Convex Framework for Robust Causal Inference: Overcoming the Gaussian Barrier and Optimization Fragility

Published 24 Nov 2025 in stat.ML, cs.LG, and stat.ME | (2511.19284v1)

Abstract: This document proposes a Unified Robust Framework that re-engineers the estimation of the Average Treatment Effect on the Overlap (ATO). It synthesizes gamma-Divergence for outlier robustness, Graduated Non-Convexity (GNC) for global optimization, and a "Gatekeeper" mechanism to address the impossibility of higher-order orthogonality in Gaussian regimes.

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