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Updated bounds on the (1,2) neutrino oscillation parameters after first JUNO results

Published 26 Nov 2025 in hep-ph, hep-ex, and nucl-ex | (2511.21650v1)

Abstract: Within the standard $3ν$ framework, we discuss updated bounds on the leading oscillation parameters related to the $(ν1,\,ν_2)$ states, namely, the squared mass difference $δm2=m2_2-m2_1$ and the mixing parameter $\sin{12}$. A previous global analysis of 2024 oscillation data estimated $δm2$ and $\sin2θ_{12}$ with fractional $1σ$ errors of about $2.3\%$ and $4.5\%$, respectively. First we update the analysis by applying the latest SNO+ constraints, that slightly shift the $(δm2,\,\sin2θ_{12})$ best fits. Then we apply the constraints placed by the first JUNO results, that significantly reduce the uncertainties of both parameters. Our updated global bounds (as of 2025) can be summarized as: $δm2/10{-5}{\rm eV}2 = 7.48\pm 0.10$ and $\sin2θ_{12}=0.3085\pm0.0073$ (with correlation $ρ=-0.20$), corresponding to $1σ$ uncertainties as small as $1.3\%$ and $2.4\%$, respectively. We also comment on minor physical and statistical effects that, in the future, may contribute to lift the current mass-ordering degeneracy of $(δm2,\,θ_{12})$ estimates.

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