Outcome of competition between bar propeller effects and continued dark-matter accretion onto Sgr A*

Ascertain whether the future evolution of the Milky Way will be dominated by the rapidly reversing Galactic bar pattern speed (propeller effect) or by ongoing dark-matter accretion onto Sgr A*, specifically whether the bar’s evolution will suppress or prevent continued dark-matter inflow onto the supermassive black hole.

Background

Projecting current trends, the authors argue the bar’s pattern speed could become strongly negative, potentially inducing a propeller effect that dramatically affects the Galactic disk and might even halt dark-matter accretion onto Sgr A*. They highlight the unresolved question of which process will dominate the Galaxy’s near-future evolution.

They explicitly state that further work is required to determine the winner of this competition.

References

Apparently, more work is needed to establish who will win this competition.

Milky Way evolution on a human timescale  (2603.29503 - Eugene et al., 31 Mar 2026) in Section 3: The rotation speed of the Galactic bar (end of section)