Scientifically matched null models for TDA in complex-systems data
Develop domain-appropriate null models for topological data analysis that are scientifically matched to weighted, temporal, correlation-derived, higher-order, and spatially constrained datasets arising in complex-systems applications, so that statistical significance of persistence-based summaries can be assessed against meaningful alternatives rather than generic random baselines.
References
For complex-systems science, this is a central open problem. The field needs null models that are not merely mathematically convenient, but scientifically matched to weighted, temporal, correlation-derived, higher-order, and spatially constrained data.
— Topology as a Language for Emergent Organization in Complex Systems: Multiscale Structure, Higher-Order Interactions, and Early Warning Signals
(2603.25760 - Bailey, 25 Mar 2026) in Section 8.2: Stability is not significance: inference and null models